Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.214366e-05 0.000038 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000080
2025-03-30 2.432078e-05 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000063 0.000077 0.000094
2025-04-06 1.864912e-05 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000064 0.000082 0.000104
2025-04-13 1.389306e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000083 0.000110
2025-04-20 1.097293e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000044 0.000063 0.000087 0.000118
2025-04-27 9.118391e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000043 0.000065 0.000092 0.000128
2025-05-04 7.873296e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000044 0.000067 0.000098 0.000140
2025-05-11 7.447604e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000047 0.000073 0.000109 0.000157
2025-05-18 6.614575e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000048 0.000077 0.000116 0.000170
2025-05-25 5.076470e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000045 0.000074 0.000115 0.000172
2025-06-01 4.031607e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000043 0.000074 0.000116 0.000177
2025-06-08 3.397949e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000075 0.000120 0.000186
2025-06-15 2.619913e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000042 0.000076 0.000126 0.000198
2025-06-22 1.939671e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000041 0.000077 0.000130 0.000209
2025-06-29 1.347563e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000039 0.000076 0.000132 0.000217
2025-07-06 8.269036e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000036 0.000073 0.000131 0.000220
2025-07-13 5.449512e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000073 0.000133 0.000228
2025-07-20 3.864526e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000034 0.000074 0.000138 0.000240
2025-07-27 2.906024e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000077 0.000145 0.000255
2025-08-03 2.678871e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000083 0.000158 0.000280
2025-08-10 2.071719e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000087 0.000167 0.000297
2025-08-17 1.040366e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000084 0.000165 0.000300
2025-08-24 5.269008e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000034 0.000083 0.000166 0.000306